My New Year's resolution this year was to be less superstitious about sports. This means no more worrying about what I wore or where I sat for the previous game... no more recreating every little detail. It's a good thing, too, because I would have a hard time luring the
Victory Moose back to the house on Sunday.
The great thing about winning the Cowboys game is that now I feel that this Seahawks season has already been a success, and any further advancement in the playoffs would be gravy. The pressure is off, and I don't have a lot of expectations going into the game. That's not to say, though, that I don't have an irrational hope that they'll beat the Bears.
It's irrational because the Bears clearly have the better team. The Bears have a few frightening players like Urlacher, Briggs, and Hester, and the defense as a whole has no clear weaknesses. They also have a good running game and good receivers.
All hope this week for a Seahawk win derives from more mystical, and less logical, sources. For one, the Bears were in the same situation last year... and lost. Rex Grossman plays as many terrible games as he does good games, and although he torched the Hawks earlier this year, there's a chance he lays another egg. After the win over the Cowboys, the Hawks may have "Team of Destiny" feel about them, where lucky breaks obscure their flaws (much like the 2001 Patriots). And in the end, it's the NFL, where underdogs have been winning all season.
One quick gripe, though. I've read/heard several commenters saying the Hawks are a lucky team. Oh, please. The Romo fumble was lucky, sure, but even if there had been no fumble the Hawks still had a great chance to win that game. Moreover, it's patently ridiculous to say this is a lucky team after the season of injuries we've had -- where Walter Jones is the only player to start every game on offense... we've had 8 different starting lineups on the O-line... we lost Alexander and Hasselbeck at the same time... Bobby Engram had a
thyroid condition (?!?)... we lose three cornerbacks in the final two weeks and have to sign a loan officer and elk hunting guide off the street to play in a playoff game. Where's the
good luck in that? The fact that the team got this far is a testament to its depth and courage. We'd need several more Romo-moments to even things out on the luck scale.
As for the game itself, on D the Hawks are going to need to take an early lead. If they fall behind and allow the Bears to run the ball in the second half, the Hawks are toast. If they keep the ball in Grossman's hands, where nobody knows what will happen, they have a chance. On O the Hawks will have to run the ball better, and give Hasselbeck some protection. It's all about O-line play. The good news is that the same O-line that started last week will start this week (this has happened
rarely this year).
My guess is that Grossman will have a decent game, and the Seahawks will play hard but come up short. Bears, 27-17.
(I gave up superstitions, but not reverse-jinxes. (Real prediction: 22-19, Seattle.) Go Seahawks!)